Real-time insight of oil, gas & power markets
Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/10_12_2025_MNI_Oil_Weekly_Between_Putin_and_Trump_ India_s_Energy_Balancing_Act_b7ab20b89f.pdf Executive Summary: * After the Modi-Putin meeting, Delhi faces a delicate balance between US relations and buying discounted Russian crude. * Oil Markets: Crude prices have pulled back from a Brent front month high of $64.09/bbl on Dec. 5 but still holding within a $2.5/bbl range since Nov. 23 with focus switching back from geopolitical risks to oversupply concerns. Crack spreads and Gasoil time spreads have held relatively steady in the last week after the pull back from highs around Nov. 19. * Analyst Views: See oil market views and outlooks from key analyst names * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/10_12_2025_MNI_Oil_Weekly_Between_Putin_and_Trum p_India_s_Energy_Balancing_Act_b7ab20b89f.pdf
Dec-10 15:17Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Oil_Weekly_Ukraine_s_Drone_Strikes_Intensify_4 001b457c6.pdf Executive Summary: * Ukraine is expanding its targeting of Russia's energy infrastructure beyond refineries * Oil Markets: Brent crude oil prices are bouncing within the $61.6/b to $63.8/b range in the last week amid doubts regarding a Ukraine peace deal. Diesel and gasoline cracks spreads have stabilised in the last week following the pullback see earlier in November. * Analyst Views: See oil market views and outlooks from key analyst name * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Oil_Weekly_Ukraine_s_Drone_Strikes_Intensify _4001b457c6.pdf
Dec-03 15:55Download Full Report Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Oil_Weekly_Oil_Pressured_on_Russia_Ukraine_Opt imism_f6a8de4098.pdf Executive Summary: * Oil Pressured on Russia/Ukraine Optimism: U.S. officials have pushed a positive narrative around a Ukraine peace deal this week, a move which adds further pressure for oil. European leaders meanwhile have voiced significant discontent and poured cold water on a swift positive outcome following numerous false starts this year and Russia's maximalist demands. * Oil Markets: Brent crude remains under bearish pressure as Ukraine-Russia peace talks continue and with concern for oversupply rising into next year, ahead of an OPEC+ meeting this weekend. Diesel and gasoline cracks have steadied in recent days after a pull back from highs in mid-November, although tight supply concern persist. * Analyst Views: See oil market views and outlooks from key analyst names.
Nov-26 12:34Download Full Document Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Oil_Weekly_U_S_Sanctions_on_Rosneft_Lukoil_Nea r_edbb0611f3.pdf Executive Summary: * U.S. Sanctions on Rosneft/Lukoil Near: The fallout of U.S. sanctions on Lukoil/Rosneft will become clearer from next week as they come into force November 21. Near term disruption from main buyers India and China remains but the market still expects workarounds to emerge as significant discounts eventually temp buyers. * Oil Markets: Brent has softened from a high last week to remain within a $62.3/bbl and $65.3/bbl range weighing uncertainty over Russian output against ongoing oversupply risks and recent rise in oil volumes at sea. Diesel and gasoline cracks remain strong amid tight supplies from refinery disruption and US sanctions on Russia's Lukoil and Rosneft. * Analyst Views: See oil market views and outlooks from key industry names.
Nov-19 16:03Download Full Report Here : https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Research_What_US_Venezuela_Tensions_Could_Mean _for_Oil_fe7b34ea09.pdf Executive Summary: * A rapid US military build-up in the Caribbean raises the prospect of regime change in Venezuela. * Any shift in power - negotiated or military - could reshape Venezuela's oil supply. * A negotiated exit remains the base case, but limited US strikes are now a plausible near-term trigger for disruption. * Download Full Report Here : https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Research_What_US_Venezuela_Tensions_Could_Me an_for_Oil_fe7b34ea09.pdf
Dec-04 20:52Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_2025_11_LNG_Risks_with_Russia_Ukraine_Peace_De al_b34e12ea05.pdf Executive Summary * The 28-point peace plan to end the Russia-Ukraine War has been launched by the US, with Trump setting a Nov. 27 deadline. * While there is no guarantee that it will end the war, it could have wide implications for energy markets. * The plan gives no guarantees for sanctions relief; however, Russia will likely push for an easing of restrictions on Arctic LNG 2. * US LNG demand could face lower utilization rates and delayed facility FID's, but impacts are likely to be limited in the very near term.
Nov-21 19:50See Summaries here: MNI_Major US LNG Exporters Q3 Guidance.pdf: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Major_US_LNG_Exporters_Q3_Guidance_5bcece3288. pdf This quarter saw the three major US LNG exporters delivering roughly 309 cargoes with steady growth in the global LNG market. * Cheniere maintained steady output across Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi while advancing CCL Stage 3 and preparing for future expansions. * Venture Global posted the fastest growth, exporting a record 100 cargoes and driving most of the new global LNG capacity added this year, while progressing Plaquemines and CP2 despite ongoing arbitration disputes. * Sempra focused less on current exports in its earnings call and more on construction progress at Port Arthur Phases 1 and 2 and ECA LNG, reflecting its broader strategic pivot toward utility investments after selling 45% of its LNG arm to KKR.
Nov-18 16:48Download full report here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Winter_25_26_Preview_af0459492c.pdf Executive Summary: * L48 Natgas market is trending long heading into winter requiring additional demand to work off excess gas in storage ahead of next summer. * Without a colder-than-normal winter, this demand is unlikely to be realized, and the latest weather outlooks suggest the season could trend warm. * As a result, there may be downside Henry Hub risk as forward prices are currently above historical average settlements.
Oct-29 13:31Download Full Document Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Gas_Weekly_Henry_Hub_Spike_Boosts_Spot_LNG_Fav ourability_6ce4cf617b.pdf Executive Summary: * Spot LNG prices have fallen below term-contracts. * European Gas Benchmarks continue to be weighed upon by mild weather. * Asia's LNG market has plummeted, with the lowest January JKM delivered price in six years. * In the Middle East & Africa, the $35bn Israel-Egypt natural gas deal is now set for approval. * Henry Hub prices have retreated from three-year highs as cold spells clear. * In the Americas, LNG flows through the Panama Canal remain subdued.
Dec-10 11:59Download Full Report Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Gas_Weekly_Gas_Bearish_Despite_Arrival_of_Wint er_ab2a0f404d.pdf Executive Summary: * European Gas Benchmarks fell further amid above-normal December temperatures. * Asia's LNG market fell to an eight-week low on muted demand and high inventories. * In the Middle East & Africa, Aramco completes the first phase of Jafurah gas plant project. * Henry Hub touched three-year highs on colder weather and record-setting feedgas. * In the Americas, Mexico's Fast LNG Onshore project was denied a critical pipeline permit.
Dec-03 12:37Download Full Report Here: : https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Gas_Weekly_Bearish_Pressures_Mount_on_European _Gas_21241cc3a8.pdf Executive Summary: * European Gas Benchmarks fell on hopes of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal, mild weather and stable supply. * Asia's LNG market remains relatively muted amid subdued demand from Japan and China. * In the Middle East & Africa, Egypt is considering purchasing further cargoes for December. * Henry Hub has oscillated on mixed weather forecasts, high production and strong feedgas demand. * In the Americas, US shale drillers are taking their expertise to Argentina's Vaca Muerta.
Nov-26 10:49Download Full Report Here: : https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Gas_Weekly_Freight_Rates_Drive_Up_LNG_Prices_0 65fa2db6b.pdf Executive Summary: * European Gas Benchmarks continue to hinge on weather forecast revisions. * Asia's LNG market is on the rise amid climbing freight rates. * In the Middle East & Africa, cargoes are seen diverting from NWE to Egypt and Jordan. * Henry Hub has softened from an eight month high as colder weather abates. * In the Americas, the US DoE is pressuring Mexico Pacific to reveal its investors.
Nov-19 12:07Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Ukrainian_Drone_Strike_Tracker_Dec_9_d8ba584929.pd f Executive Summary * Ukraine continues to target select refineries repeatedly, striking again as repairs from previous strikes conclude. * In addition to refineries, Ukraine also targeted the port and export terminal of Temryuk Dec. 5. * The report lists reported Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refining facilities since October. Given the frequency of attempted strikes, the list may not be exhaustive. * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Ukrainian_Drone_Strike_Tracker_Dec_9_d8ba584929. pdf
Dec-09 17:58Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Ukrainian_Drone_Strike_Tracker_Dec_2_75f9bcf90f.pd f Executive Summary: * Bloomberg estimates that Russia's crude processing rates rebounded to more than 5.3m b/d over Nov. 20-26 as two major refineries - Tuapse and Volgograd - raised their runs. * In addition to refineries, Ukraine has also targeted port infrastructure and tankers over the past week * The table below lists reported Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refining facilities since October. Given the frequency of attempted strikes, the list may not be exhaustive. * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Ukrainian_Drone_Strike_Tracker_Dec_2_75f9bcf90f. pdf
Dec-02 15:41corrected *MARATHON CARSON REFINERY REPORTS FLARING GASES NOV. 22 *MARATHON CARSON REFINERY HAS A UNPLANNED FLARE EVENT - bbg
Nov-24 13:04Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Ukrainian_Drone_Strike_Tracker_Nov_18_4e1f0819b8.p df Executive Summary * Bloomberg estimates that Russia's crude processing rates declined to about 5.04m b/d over Nov. 6-12 as Ukraine stepped up drone attack * The document lists reported Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refining facilities since October. * Given the frequency of attempted strikes, the list may not be exhaustive. * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Ukrainian_Drone_Strike_Tracker_Nov_18_4e1f0819b8 .pdf
Nov-18 16:43Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Political_Drivers_for_Energy_Markets_Dec_8_14_ 2ba5e198b3.pdf Executive Summary: * Talks to end the war in Ukraine are said to have made progress, but key outstanding issues remain. * Russia-India energy relations were in focus last week as Putin visited New Delhi. * Despite heavy US pressure, Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro continues to hang on to power. * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Political_Drivers_for_Energy_Markets_Dec_8_1 4_2ba5e198b3.pdf
Dec-08 13:37Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Key_Political_Drivers_of_Energy_Markets_Dec_1_7_6a dbc46a4d.pdf Executive Summary: * US Special envoy Steve Witkoff heads to Moscow for talks with Putin on ending the war in Ukraine. * OPEC have reconfirmed that it will pause production hikes in Q1 2026. * US-Venezuela tensions remain near boiling point, but Trump continues to hold off on land strikes. * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Key_Political_Drivers_of_Energy_Markets_Dec_1_7_ 6adbc46a4d.pdf
Dec-01 13:43Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Key_Political_Drivers_of_Energy_Markets_Nov_17_23_ 774470ae6f.pdf Executive Summary: * Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince MBS is due to meet with President Trump in Washington Nov. 18 * Trump has hinted that he is considering talks on Venezuela as military build-up continues * A US and Inda trade deal is in focus as Washington looks to stop India's Russian oil buying * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Key_Political_Drivers_of_Energy_Markets_Nov_17_2 3_774470ae6f.pdf
Nov-17 13:16Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Key_Political_Drivers_of_Energy_Markets_Nov_10_16_ 3f0d8bfb4e.pdf Executive Summary: * After Trump granted Hungary a waiver to continue buying Russian oil, the market will watch for indicators around the US' willingness to enforce measures. * Mixed messages continue from the Trump administration towards Venezuela, as it hopes to drive Maduro out of power without military intervention. * Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Key_Political_Drivers_of_Energy_Markets_Nov_10_1 6_3f0d8bfb4e.pdf
Nov-10 13:15Download Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/US_LNG_Weekly_2025_12_12_ecc6372b27.pdf MNI estimates US LNG feedgas remained 0.6 Bcf/d below the record high reached last week, reaching 18.9 Bcf/d today. The weekly reduction is largely driven reduced flows to Sabine and Plaquemines. * Sabine LNG is being impacted by an NGPL force majeure with an unknown duration. Some flows were offset by increases on TETCO and LEAP, but not all of the NGPL outage volumes have been displaced yet. Flows to the facility may remain low until the force majeure is lifted. * Plaquemines flows reached 3.9 Bcf/d today, down 0.4 Bcf/d from last week's level of 4.4 Bcf/d. TGP reports scheduled maintenance on Segment 530 at Station 534 South of Pool starting Dec 8th and holding through March 2026 with some capacity impacts, which could be impacting supply to the facility. * Freeport suffered reduced flows of ~0.5 Bcf/d on Monday and Wednesday this week, but flows are back up to normal levels today. Gulf South, TETCO, and BIG flows were all down during the outage.
Dec-12 18:01Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_2025_12_Delfin_LNG_Deep_Waters_Deeper_Ambition s_982b1251af.pdf * Delfin LNG could be the next US LNG project to reach FID. However, the facility guidance for imminent FID has been around for many years, casting doubt on whether it can reach an FID by YE2025 as guided. * Delfin has SPA's for 5.1-5.6 MTPA, which meets their stated threshold to FID 2 vessels. * The project would be the first offshore LNG facility for the US and has been designed to work with existing gas infrastructure to keep project costs low. * While Delfin has the contract backing for a positive FID, gas infrastructure dynamics have shifted since it was first proposed. Tying into onshore gas may require more work and investment than originally planned as the Transco lateral is likely already running at full capacity.
Dec-04 20:44Crude Storage Summary - November 28th: https://media.marketnews.com/US_Liquids_Storage_Review2025_12_03_f7a4ea5236.pdf Report Highlights * EIA reported an 824 Mbbls crude build, which compared against a consensus expectation of 1,543 Mbbls crude draw. * Cushing crude stocks reported a 457 Mbbls draw week-over-week and now sit at 21 MMbbls, which is below last year's level and below the bottom of the 5-year range. * US crude production was largely flat week-over-week, while product supplied fell 51 kb/d. * Refinery utilization was 94.1% last week, up 1.8 percentage points from the prior week and up 3.6 percentage points from the prior year. * Gasoline exports reached the second highest level on record at 1,246 kb/d, with the highest export level of 1,311 kb/d reached in December 2018. The latest level is up 158 kb/d from the prior week and up 183 kb/d from the prior year. * Propane stocks fell 687 Mbbls week-over-week but remain above last year's levels and the high end of the 5-year range. The draw was supported by a reduction in propane supplied and an increase in propane exports.
Dec-03 17:39See Summaries here: MNI_Major US LNG Exporters Q3 Guidance.pdf: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Major_US_LNG_Exporters_Q3_Guidance_5bcece3288. pdf This quarter saw the three major US LNG exporters delivering roughly 309 cargoes with steady growth in the global LNG market. * Cheniere maintained steady output across Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi while advancing CCL Stage 3 and preparing for future expansions. * Venture Global posted the fastest growth, exporting a record 100 cargoes and driving most of the new global LNG capacity added this year, while progressing Plaquemines and CP2 despite ongoing arbitration disputes. * Sempra focused less on current exports in its earnings call and more on construction progress at Port Arthur Phases 1 and 2 and ECA LNG, reflecting its broader strategic pivot toward utility investments after selling 45% of its LNG arm to KKR.
Nov-18 16:48Download Full Report Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Carbon_Monthly_Monitor_Nov_and_Dec_b3598b1dd4. pdf Executive Summary: * EU Automotive Package: The EU's 2035 combustion-engine ban faces growing pushback from member states and automakers, prompting a potential delay of the Commission's 10 December review. * UKA/EUA Dec25 Options Expiry: On the non-policy side, EUA Dec-25 options head into 10 December expiry with implied volatility inching up from record lows, skew turning more negative, and open interest thinning-highlighting steady volatility expectations but rising relative demand for downside protection. UKA Dec-25 options approach 10 December expiry with implied volatility at multi-month highs and a record put/call tilt, underscoring heightened demand for downside protection as overall open interest dwindles.
Nov-28 12:19Download Full Report Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Power_Service_Market_Reaction_of_EU_Environmen t_Council_Meeting_e35e31ff69.pdf Executive Summary: * The European Environment Council on 5 November agreed on the 2040 Climate Target and the 2035 NDC, as well as the EU ETS2 delay by one year. * Reactions from market participants have been mixed especially on the delay of ETS2, with sharp criticism from pro-environmental groups, while some European parties are even pushing for further delays.
Nov-07 15:47Download Full Report Here:: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Carbon_Monthly_Review_and_Outlook_November_5e4 8328163.pdf Executive Summary: * EU Climate Target 2040/NDC 2035: The EU's Climate Target for 2040 and 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) are still in limbo with a vote scheduled to take place at the next EU Environment Council meeting on 4 November. The EU faces a ticking clock, with the 4 November meeting as the final opportunity to officially submit its NDC ahead of COP30.
Oct-30 15:57Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Carbon_Monthly_Policy_Monitor_e1dbaa0887.pdf: Executive Summary: * EU Climate Target 2040: The EU's 2040 climate target remains undecided following the postponement of a European Parliament vote on Ondrej Knotek's proposal to reject the target, originally scheduled for 23 September. Environment Commissioner Teresa Ribera has said the bloc aims to finalise the target "in the coming weeks." * EU 2035 NDC: The EU Environment Council has approved a statement of intent outlining its indicative 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) - a 66.25-72.5% GHG reduction vs 1990 levels. The final NDC is expected to be submitted ahead of COP30 in November.
Sep-29 13:03Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Fed_Prev_Dec2025_With_Analysts_4d5a318a2b.pdf * The FOMC is expected to look through the data fog and deliver a "hawkish cut" on December 10, with a third consecutive 25bp reduction in the Fed funds rate range to 3.50-3.75%. * While a December cut is over 90% priced, a follow-up cut in January is seen as having under 30% probability, and the next easing is only fully priced by next June. * There will be the usual attention on the Summary of Economic Projections including the Dot Plot, but more attention than usual on the Statement to see how resolutely the easing bias remains. * Forward guidance is likely to be amended to reflect a more patient stance on cuts. As such the market reaction to the meeting could hinge on how Chair Powell portrays the burden of proof for the next cut. * Powell will highlight that the Committee is increasingly reluctant to ease further without additional evidence of labor market deterioration. But by the same token, he could express that's not an insurmountable obstacle, and a follow-up easing is possible in the event of incoming data before end-January. * The lack of major data since the September projections round portends only limited changes to the macro and rate forecasts. None of the end-year rate dot medians are likely to change, implying 25bp cuts in each of 2026 and 2027.
December 08, 2025 22:40The FOMC is unanimously expected to cut the Fed funds rate by 25bp at the October meeting, per 31 previews seen by MNI.
October 27, 2025 21:36The Federal Reserve is overwhelmingly expected to cut the funds rate by 25bp for a 2nd consecutive meeting.
October 24, 2025 21:05All but 2 analysts expect a 25bp cut at the September FOMC.
September 15, 2025 16:52