EU carbon prices are forecast to fall to an average of €65/t CO2e in 2024, before rising to €71/t in 2025 and nearly €150/t CO2e by 2030. However, the increase may be limited by persistently low emissions, which reduce demand for allowances, and a surplus of permits, data from BNEF shows.
Allowance supply is projected to increase again in 2025.
Additionally, four key policy details are still pending, and several reviews are expected by 2026, price volatility could increase, BNEF added.
EU carbon prices are forecast to fall to an average of €65/t CO2e in 2024, before rising to €71/t in 2025 and nearly €150/t CO2e by 2030. However, the increase may be limited by persistently low emissions, which reduce demand for allowances, and a surplus of permits, data from BNEF shows.
Allowance supply is projected to increase again in 2025.
Additionally, four key policy details are still pending, and several reviews are expected by 2026, price volatility could increase, BNEF added.