• Along with headline CPI inflation surprising a little lower (and core cooling but as expected), dispersion metrics also showed further disinflationary progress in August.
  • That’s from an already good level in July, with the BoC noting with its decision earlier this month that “the share of components of the consumer price index growing above 3% is roughly at its historical norm”.
  • By our calculations, the share of 185 items across the entire CPI basket growing in excess of 3% Y/Y fell further from 28% to 26%, a new recent low. 2019 av 33%, long-term pre-pandemic average of 28%.
  • The goods share fell to 21% (2019 av 34%, long-term 26%) whilst services is of more note as it continued to trend lower, falling from 41% to 37%.
  • The latter is still above 31% seen pre-pandemic but has seen greater convergence than its US counterpart. 
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CANADA DATA: Further Disinflationary Progress In CPI Breadth

Last updated at:Sep-17 13:05By: Chris Harrison
Canada
  • Along with headline CPI inflation surprising a little lower (and core cooling but as expected), dispersion metrics also showed further disinflationary progress in August.
  • That’s from an already good level in July, with the BoC noting with its decision earlier this month that “the share of components of the consumer price index growing above 3% is roughly at its historical norm”.
  • By our calculations, the share of 185 items across the entire CPI basket growing in excess of 3% Y/Y fell further from 28% to 26%, a new recent low. 2019 av 33%, long-term pre-pandemic average of 28%.
  • The goods share fell to 21% (2019 av 34%, long-term 26%) whilst services is of more note as it continued to trend lower, falling from 41% to 37%.
  • The latter is still above 31% seen pre-pandemic but has seen greater convergence than its US counterpart. 
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