- China equities saw their largest northbound inflow since July 2023, as markets surged higher with the CSI300 up 1.91%, in signs that policy support may be changing market sentiment. It had been reported that China was banning some Quant strategies and that they had banned a top performing quant manager from trading for a year. Flows are gaining momentum with 16.6b yuan of inflows yesterday with the 5-day average now 5.75b, while the 20-day average is 3.66b.
- South Korean equities were lower on Thursday, largely due to moves lower in the US and tech names globally after such a stellar run of late. Flows remain positive although momentum is slowing with $184m of inflows, while the 5-day average sits at $160m, while 20-day is at $306m.
- Taiwan equities were back from their break yesterday, trading 0.60% higher led higher by hardware names. While GDP was lower at 4.93% vs 5.10% expected, however projects the economy will rebound quickly as global demand for AI related technologies spur growth higher. Just 3.1m flowed into Taiwan equities on Thursday, with the 5-day average now $226m vs the 20-day average at $250m
- Indonesian again saw outflows marking the 4th of 5 day of negative flow, BI Deputy Gov said they wont be cutting rates yet due to high global uncertainty and rupiah volatility. The 5-day average is -$47m, while the 20-day is at $38m.
- Thailand saw their largest outflow since Jan 17th of $21m of -$120m, while markets were 0.80% lower. Current account Balance swung to a deficit on high gold imports, while factory output contracts fell for a 16th straight month. The 5-day average is now -$24m, while the 20-day is at $4.1m.
Table 1: EM Asia Equity Flows
Yesterday | Past 5 Trading Days | 2024 To Date | |
China (Yuan bn)* | 16.6 | 28.8 | 46.2 |
South Korea (USDmn) | 184 | 800 | 8373 |
Taiwan (USDmn) | 3 | 1134 | 4805 |
India (USDmn)** | -167 | 214 | -3164 |
Indonesia (USDmn) | -41 | -236 | 1180 |
Thailand (USDmn) | -121 | -123 | -788 |
Malaysia (USDmn) ** | -56 | 21 | 456 |
Philippines (USDmn) | 8 | 11.4 | 208 |
Total (Ex China USDmn) | -190 | 1822 | 11071 |
* Northbound Stock Connect Flows | |||
** Data Up To Feb 28 |