US: White House Rescinds Spending Freeze Memo, First Major Setback For Trump

Jan-30 09:45

The White House Office of Management and Budget yesterday rescinded a memorandum calling on federal government agencies to freeze spending while a review was carried out to ensure compliance with President Donald Trump's executive orders.

  • The episode is the first major setback for the second Trump administration, demonstrating the limits of White House authority over spending. The primary takeaway is that Trump will have to lean on Congress, if he is to enact meaningful and durable change to federal spending.
  • It also shows that Democrats can offer a robust opposition to Trump's executive overreach. Moreover, the public backlash indicates that the Trump White House may have overestimated its mandate to impose sweeping reforms of the federal government, something that could complicate efforts to find savings to offset the cost of their legislative agenda.  
  • Axios notes that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has demanded the creation of "strike teams" to combat the budget reconciliation plan by Republicans, likely preparing a messaging campaign warning that Trump could target popular entitlement programmes to fund tax cuts.
  • The Senate Budget Committee will meet at 12:00 ET 17:00 GMT today to vote on discharging the nomination of Russel Vought, Trump's pick to lead the OMB, for a full Senate confirmation vote. Democrats are likely to utilise every procedural tool available to obfuscate his confirmation, although ultimately they cannot block him without four dissenting Republican votes.  

Historical bullets

CHINA: CFETS RMB Basket Tweak Drops USD, EUR, JPY Weighting, Adds MOP

Dec-31 09:33

China adjust the currency weightings as part of the CFETS RMB Index: Full basket of currencies now composed of 25 currencies, having included the Macau Pataca (MOP) for 2025:

  • USD weighting dropped to 18.903% from 19.460%
  • EUR weighting dropped to 17.902% from 18.080%
  • JPY weighting dropped to 8.584% from 8.963%

Full list found here: https://iftp.chinamoney.com.cn/chinese/zxpl/20241231/3028340.html

SONIA: Call Condor trades for more

Dec-31 09:18

SFIH5 95.45/95.50/95.60/95.65c condor, bought again for 1.75, now 4k total.

FOREX: FX OPTION EXPIRY

Dec-31 09:14

Of note:

EURUSD 1.59bn at 1.0400 (thu).

USDJPY 1.35bn at 156.00 (mon).

  • EURUSD: 1.0400 (510mln).