Similar rhetoric from ECB’s Wunsch to various appearances last week, acknowledging a more benign backdrop that doesn’t look like need significant tightening but at the same time no wanting to wait too long if there is a need to hike.
- “Look, oil prices and gas prices have gone down, so if I would not be a bit more benign, I would probably look stubborn. So my hope, and let's see, because of course there is a lot of uncertainty, but it seems that the shock has disappeared, and according to the markets, that oil and gas prices would go back to initial levels, even maybe to below initial levels relatively soon. And of course, if the origin of the shock disappears before you have significant second round effects, and we haven't seen that much so far, and especially the wage development seem to be quite benign, that would point to a monetary policy reaction, maybe we need to do more, but that doesn't ask for say a tightening that would be significant.
- Now, a lot of things can still happen, but I'm relatively relaxed again under the condition of what we see in market forwards for energy, that we can get this under control and go back to target without having to rate hikes too much, but I'm not excluding another move. And then the point I made is, if we have to do that move, let's not wait too long. We will have a projection in September, but I'm a bit afraid that we would hike too late when the movement starts in the other direction.”