US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (U6) Resistance Remains Intact

Jun-09 16:22
  • RES 4: 111-02+ High Apr 24
  • RES 3: 110-28+ High May 7
  • RES 2: 110-04   50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 109-18/110-00+ 20-day EMA / High May 29
  • PRICE:‌‌ 109-06+ @ 17:21 BST Jun 9
  • SUP 1: 108-25   Low Jun 08
  • SUP 2: 108-08+ Low May 19 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 3: 108-04   1.382 proj of Apr 17 - May 4 - 7 swing
  • SUP 4: 107-29   1.618 proj of the Apr 17 - May 4 - 7 price swing

Treasuries traded lower Monday and only partially retraced those losses into the Tuesday close. Recent weakness has reinforced a M/T bearish theme and potentially provides an early signal that the corrective cycle that started May 19, is over. Note that recent gains have allowed an oversold trend condition to unwind. Resistance to watch is 110-04, the 50-day EMA. The bear trigger lies at 108-08+, the May 19 low. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend.

Historical bullets

MNI: CHINA APR EXPORTS +14.1% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +8.4% Y/Y: CUSTOMS

May-09 02:48
  • CHINA APR EXPORTS +14.1% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +8.4% Y/Y: CUSTOMS
  • CHINA APR IMPORTS +25.3% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +20.0% Y/Y: CUSTOMS
  • CHINA APR TRADE SURPLUS +$84.82 BLN VS MEDIAN +$85.10 BLN

MNI: CHINA APR EXPORTS +9.8% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS

May-09 02:46
  • CHINA APR EXPORTS +9.8% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS
  • CHINA APR IMPORTS +20.6% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS
  • CHINA APR TRADE SURPLUS +CNY585.7 BLN: CUSTOMS

MNI: CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY500 MLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPO SAT

May-09 01:27
  • CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY500 MLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPO SAT