US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (U5) Holds Firm

Aug-06 11:49
  • RES 4: 113-23   76.4% retracement of the Sep’24 - Jan’25 sell-off
  • RES 3: 113-07   76.4% retracement of the Apr 7 - 11 sell-off 
  • RES 2: 112-23   High May 1 
  • RES 1: 112-15+ High Aug 5
  • PRICE:‌‌ 112-03+ @ 12:47 BST Aug 6
  • SUP 1: 110-19+/08+ Low Jul 24 / Low Jul 14 & 16        
  • SUP 2: 110-03   76.4% retracement of the May 22 - Jul 1 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 109-28   Low Jun 6 and 11
  • SUP 4: 109.25   Low May 27

Treasury futures remain strong on the back of the post-NFP rally having cleared resistance into the bull trigger at 112-12+, the Jul 1 high. This opens the May 1 high for direction at 112-23, a multi-month high. Clearance here opens retracement levels layered between 113-07 and 113-23. On the downside, key support is 110-08+, the Jul 14 and 16 low. First support lies at 110-19+, the Jul 24 low.

Historical bullets

EUR: EURGBP Targets the immediate support.

Jul-07 11:45
  • The EUR is mostly mixed against G10s, the Stokkie is still the best performer following the rise in Inflation for Sweden.
  • The Kiwi sits at the other end, down 0.56% but off its worst earlier levels, after EURNZD rallied to its highest level since mid April heading into the European session.
  • EURGBP targets the next immediate support at 0.8606, this was last Thursday's low.
  • A clear break through the figure would challenge 0.8550/0.8503 20- and 50-day EMA values, but given that the main focus is on Tariffs this Week, some of the momentum could be somewhat more contained.

PIPELINE: Early Corporate Bond Roundup: IADB, Shinhan, Nissan Motors on Tap

Jul-07 11:44
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 07/07 $Benchmark IADB 10Y 
  • 07/07 $Benchmark Nissan Motor 5Y 7.25%a, 7Y 7.75%a, 10Y 8%a
  • 07/07 $Benchmark Shinhan Financial 5Y +63
  • 07/07 $Benchmark NTT Finance Corp multi tranche investor calls: 2Y, 3Y fix/SOFR, 5Y fix/SOFR, 7Y, 10Y, 12Y -- in addition to EUR issuance 2Y, -4Y, 8Y and 12Y

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call Spread buyer

Jul-07 11:40

ERU5 98.25/98.37cs, bought for 0.75 and 1 in 4k.