GBPUSD TECHS: Trading Just Ahead Of The Bull Trigger

Sep-12 05:27

* RES 4: 1.3681 High Jul 4 * RES 3: 1.3636 76.4% retracement of the Jul 1 - Aug 1 downleg * RES 2: 1...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Aug-13 05:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
14-Aug0700Q2GDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction
18-Aug1530---DMO likely to publish FQ3 consultation agenda
20-Aug0001AugBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
20-Aug0700JulConsumer inflation report / PPI
21-Aug0700JulPublic Sector Finances
21-Aug0930AugS&P Global Flash PMI
21-Aug1100AugCBI Industrial Trends
22-Aug0001AugGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
22-Aug0700JulRetail Sales
23-Aug1725---BOE Bailey at Jackson Hole
26-Aug0001AugBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
26-Aug----DMO to hold FQ3 consultations with investors / GEMMs
27-Aug1100AugCBI Distributive Trades
29-Aug0730---DMO to release FQ3 (Oct-Dec) issuance ops calendar
01-Sep0930AugS&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI
01-Sep0930JulBOE Lending to Individuals / M4

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Aug-13 05:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
13-Aug0700DEHICP (f)
13-Aug0800ESHICP (f)
14-Aug0745FRHICP (f)
14-Aug1000EUIP / GDP 2nd Est / Employment
18-Aug1000EUTrade Balance
19-Aug0900EUEZ Current Account
20-Aug0700DEPPI
20-Aug1000EUHICP (f)
21-Aug0815FRS&P Global Flash PMI (p)
21-Aug0830DES&P Global Flash PMI (p)
21-Aug0900EUS&P Global Flash PMI (p)
21-Aug1000EUConstruction Production
21-Aug1500EUConsumer Confidence Indicator (p)
22-Aug0700DEGDP (f)
22-Aug0745FRManufacturing Sentiment
22-Aug1000EUNegotiated Wage Growth

CHINA: Country Wrap: Plans Afoot to Subsidize Consumer Loans

Aug-13 05:17
  • China plans to subsidize interest payments on eligible personal consumer loans from Sept. 2025 to Aug. 2026, according to a statement from the Ministry of Finance.   Subsidy applies to loans under 50,000 yuan for consumption, and designated big-ticket items over 50,000 yuan — including autos, education, and healthcare.  China’s consumer loan interest subsidy program is expected to support a recovery in lending, especially for operating loans in the consumer services sector, while benefiting major banks and enhancing their market share, according to analysts from brokerages including China Merchants Securities.  (source BBG)
  • resident Xi Jinping and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva have expressed their opposition to unilateralism and protectionism, and pledged to promote the greater development of bilateral ties.  In a phone conversation between the two heads of state on Tuesday, Xi told Lula that China is ready to work with Brazil to set an example of unity and self-reliance among major countries of the Global South, and to jointly build a more just world and a more sustainable planet.  (source China Daily)
  • China and Hong Kong markets are also higher. The CSI 300 last around +0.90%.  The HSI is up around +1.90%, with the tech sub index +2.35%.
  • Yuan Reference Rate at 7.1350 Per USD; Estimate 7.1768
  • Ten year government bond yields are modestly lower with the 10-year at 1.72%