TARIFFS: Supreme Court Refuses To Expedite Tariff Challenge

Jun-20 17:17
  • Bloomberg reports that the US Supreme Court has “refused to put a challenge to President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs on an ultra-fast track”.
  • “The justices on Friday rejected a scheduling request from two family-owned businesses seeking to invalidate many of Trump’s import taxes. The rebuff means the administration will have the normal 30 days to file a full response, not the much shorter period the companies sought in their filing on Tuesday.”
  • “A federal appeals court in a separate case has said the tariffs could stay in effect at least until that panel hears arguments July 31. “

Historical bullets

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: Waiting for Citibank 4Pt

May-21 17:12
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 05/20 $4B *ADB 5Y SOFR+42
  • 05/21 $2B #Turkiye 7Y 7.45%
  • 05/21 $2B #CoreWeave 5NC2 9.25%
  • 05/21 $2B #BPCE $1B 6NC5 +125, $1B 11NC10 +145
  • 05/21 $1.5B *OKB 3Y +34
  • 05/21 $1.25B *Kommunalbanken +5Y SOFR+49
  • 05/21 $1B #Northwestern Mutual Life 30Y +135a
  • 05/21 $Benchmark Citibank 2Y +58, 2Y SOFR, 5Y +78, 5Y SOFR
  • Expected Thursday:
  • 05/21 $1B Finnvera WNG 5Y SOFR+53a

BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Gilts Underperform Again Post-UK CPI

May-21 17:12

Gilt underperformance vs Bunds extended for a second day Wednesday.

  • UK CPI data was firmer than expected, particularly services inflation, even when adjusting for Easter effects.
  • This drove a sell-off in Gilts which lasted throughout the morning, exacerbated by continued weakness in Treasuries.
  • Though UK yields closed off the highs, they (10Y) reached the highest levels since early April.
  • While Bunds weakened in sympathy with Gilts, the 10Y UK/Germany spread closed close above 210bp for the first time in a month.
  • Periphery / semi-core EGBs traded mixed, with Greece a notable outperformer.
  • At an MNI event this morning, ECB's Kazaks said that "If the current baseline holds, we will soon reach the terminal rate".
  • Thursday's data highlight is May flash PMIs, while we also get multiple speakers including BOE's Breeden, Pill, and Dhingra, and ECB's Nagel, Holzmann and Guindos (and the accounts of the April ECB meeting).

Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 2.9bps at 1.871%, 5-Yr is up 4.2bps at 2.193%, 10-Yr is up 4bps at 2.646%, and 30-Yr is up 4.8bps at 3.136%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 4bps at 4.083%, 5-Yr is up 4.5bps at 4.241%, 10-Yr is up 5.4bps at 4.757%, and 30-Yr is up 6bps at 5.518%.
  • Italian BTP spread unchanged at 99.6bps /Greek down 1.8bps at 74bps

US TSYS/SUPPLY: Review 20Y Bond Sale Tailed, Futures Dip

May-21 17:06
  • Treasury futures extend lows (TYM5 109-23.5 -15) after the $16B 20Y Bond auction (912810UL0) tailed, drawing a high yield of 5.047% vs 5.035% When-Issued yield at the cutoff; 2.46x bid-to-cover vs. 2.63x prior.
  • Peripheral stats: indirect take-up at 69.02% vs. 70.7% prior; direct bidder take-up 14.07% from 12.3% prior; primary dealer take-up of 16.91% vs. 17.0% prior.