US IG FINANCIALS: State Street 4Q25 (STT)

Jan-16 17:09

Credit neutral.  Good quarter on growth in servicing fees generated by its market- leading global custody business, though expenses up on big investments and move into digital assets could introduce potential risks. 

(STT; Aa3/A/AA-)

#MNI #Financials

  • Adj EPS $2.97 beats $2.85 consensus, Revs $3.66B beats $3.59B est.
  • Fee revenue $2.8B +8% YY.  Management fees $662MM +15% YY on market moves and net inflows.
  • FX trading services of $405MM +13% YY.
  • Net Flows +$85
  • NII $802MM +7% YY, beat estimate.  NIM 1%.
  • Total expenses FY25 of $10.2B +7% YY on operational/tech investments.
  • Launched Digital Asset Platform:  digital assets infrastructure allowing STT to take in stablecoins, offer tokenized money market funds, other digital offerings.
  • ROTCE 21.5%, CET1 11.7%
  • AUC/A of $53T including $2T FY25 wins that generated servicing fees of $333M.
  • AUM $5.7T, est $5.62T.
  • Outlook 2026: fee revs +4-6%, NII up low single digits, expenses up 3-4%.

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: Larger FX Option Pipeline

Dec-17 2025 17:09
  • EUR/USD: Dec19 $1.1500(E3.0bln), $1.1650(E1.2bln), $1.1675-80(E2.7bln), $1.1700(E1.2bln), $1.1750-60(E4.2bln), $1.1785-00(E4.8bln), $1.1850(E2.0bln), $1.1900(E2.0bln), $1.2000(E3.2bln); Dec22 $1.1675($1.3bln), $1.1700(E1.3bln), $1.1815(E1.0bln)
  • USD/JPY: Dec19 Y155.00($2.2bln), Y156.00($1.2bln); Dec23 Y156.00($1.2bln)
  • EUR/GBP: Dec19 Gbp0.8800(E1.3bln), Gbp0.9000(E1.4bln)
  • AUD/USD: Dec19 $0.6675(A$1.1bln), $0.6700(A$1.6bln)
  • AUD/NZD: Dec19 N$1.1300(A$1.1bln)
  • USD/CAD: Dec19 C$1.3800($940mln), C$1.3825($1.8bln), C$1.3900($1.7bln), C$1.3950($1.2bln), C$1.4000($1.5bln)
  • USD/CNY: Dec19 Cny7.3000($1.1bln)

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