FED: Senate Democrats Query Warsh On Possible Reduction In FOMC Meetings

Aug-25 19:09

Writing "we are concerned that a thinner meeting schedule would cripple the Committee's ability to respond to fast-moving economic conditions, and amounts to a unilateral rewriting of how the Federal Reserve communicates with markets and the American public", six Senate Democrats have asked Fed Chair Warsh to answer multiple questions on proposed changes to then meeting schedule within the next week. Below are the questions:

"Given that reporting indicates a revised schedule could be finalized before the Committee's next required meeting in September, please submit written answers to the following questions no later than September 2, 2026:

  1. Please confirm whether the FOMC's regularly scheduled meeting dates for 2026 and 2027, as previously published, remain in effect, or whether any of those dates are under consideration for cancellation or postponement.
  2. At your Senate confirmation hearing, you testified that four meetings a year was "not enough," and that "having more meetings than that is appropriate." Please reconcile that testimony with your current consideration of a reduced meeting schedule, whether your position on this question has changed since your confirmation and, if so, on what basis.
  3. Please describe any analysis that the Federal Reserve has conducted regarding the impact of a reduced meeting schedule on the Committee's capacity to respond to changes in inflation, employment, and financial stability. Please provide copies of any such analysis.
  4. Please identify the specific statutory authority under which the Federal Reserve would implement a change of this kind, and clarify whether the Board of Governors, the full FOMC, or some other body has voted on or approved this proposal.
  5. Did the Federal Reserve consult with, or notify Congress, market participants, task force members, or other stakeholders prior to public reports of this change? If so, with whom and when?
  6. Do you intend to alter the current cadence of post-meeting press conferences, and if so, how?
  7. Please state whether this change is intended to be permanent or is being considered on a trial basis, and if the latter, what criteria will be used to evaluate its success or failure."
  • Hidden PDF
  • Recall from the July meeting minutes: "The Chairman observed that six scheduled meetings per year, held roughly every two months, would allow more information to accumulate between meetings than under current practice and provide policymakers and the staff more time to consider strategic monetary policy issues. " The NY Times had reported in early August that "Mr. Warsh, who was presiding over his second meeting as chairman, left the impression that a revised schedule could be decided on before the next meeting in mid-September, even if the changes would not be carried out until later."

Historical bullets

EURGBP TECHS: Resistance Remains Intact For Now

Jul-26 18:50
  • RES 4: 0.8652 High Jun 26 
  • RES 3: 0.8588 50-day EMA
  • RES 2: 0.8573 50.0% retracement of the Jun 22 - Jul 15 bear leg   
  • RES 1: 0.8554 High Jul 24
  • PRICE: 0.85333 @ 20:15 BST Jul 24
  • SUP 1: 0.8491/8455 Low Jul 21 / 15 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 2: 0.8443 2.236 projection of the May 18 - 25 - Jun 22 swing   
  • SUP 3: 0.8400 Round number support
  • SUP 4: 0.8374 76.4% retrace of the Dec 19 ‘24 - Nov 14 ‘25 bull leg  

Short-term gains in EURGBP appear corrective - for now. The trend needle continues to point south and the strong sell-off on Jul 15 reinforced the bear theme - it confirmed a resumption of the bear leg. A firm short-term resistance is at the 20-day EMA, at 0.8543. It has been pierced. Resistance at the 50-day EMA is at 0.8588. A resumption of weakness would open 0.8443 next, a Fibonacci projection. 

GBPUSD TECHS: Bearish Threat Still Present

Jul-26 18:25
  • RES 4: 1.3658 High May 1 and a key resistance   
  • RES 3: 1.3590 61.8% retracement of the Jan 27 - Jun 24 bear cycle
  • RES 2: 1.3481/1.3558 High Jul 20 / 15 and a key S/T resistance 
  • RES 1: 1.3395 High Jul 22  
  • PRICE: 1.3328 @ 19:48 BST Jul 24
  • SUP 1: 1.3300 61.8% retracement of the Jun 24 - Jul15 bull leg
  • SUP 2: 1.3268 Low Jul 2  
  • SUP 3: 1.3239 76.4% retracement of the Jun 24 - Jul15 bull leg
  • SUP 4: 1.3213 Low Jun 30

GBPUSD maintains a softer tone following last week's bear leg. The pair has traded through both the 20- and 50-day EMAs and last Thursday’s extension resulted in a breach of a key short-term support at 1.3342, the Jul 14 low. The clear break of this level undermines the recent bull theme and highlights a stronger reversal, towards 1.3239, a Fibonacci retracement. Key resistance and the bull trigger has been defined at 1.3558, the Jul 15 high.

EURUSD TECHS: Sights Are On The Bear Trigger

Jul-26 18:10
  • RES 4: 1.1622 High Jun 15 
  • RES 3: 1.1565 Trendline resistance drawn from the Apr 17 high
  • RES 2: 1.1492 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 1.1450 High Jul 20 
  • PRICE: 1.1369 @ 19:44 BST Jul 24
  • SUP 1: 1.1325 Low Jun 24 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.1299 2.000 proj of the Jan 27 - Feb 6 - 10 price swing
  • SUP 3: 1.1210 Low May 29 ‘25
  • SUP 4: 1.1111 50.0% retracement of the Feb 3 ‘25 - Jan 27 bull leg 

EURUSD has been in a corrective cycle since Jun 24. Gains have delivered a print above the 20-day EMA - at 1.1428. A clear break of this EMA would signal scope for a stronger recovery, towards 1.1492, the 50-day EMA. Trend conditions are bearish, highlighted by MA studies that are in a bear-mode position. Last week’s move lower resulted in a breach of 1.1378, the Jul 13 / 14 low. This opens 1.1325, the Jun 24 low and bear trigger.