A well flagged upgrade, now in line with S&P. Spreads are already at firm levels. * One notch upgra...
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The earlier cross-market moves (USD, bond and equity weakness) have moderated from extremes seen in early NY trade, with Monday’s high in 30-Year Tsy yields (3.0353%) holding and seemingly providing the key to broader stabilisation in USD assets.
Option desks report decent volumes in 10Y call plays ahead of the NY open, SOFR puts on lighter volume so far. Underlying futures weaker, near overnight lows, curves bear steepening. Projected rate cut pricing cooling from late Tuesday levels (*) as follows: Jun'25 at -0.5bp (-1.3bp), Jul'25 at -6.7bp (-7.5bp), Sep'25 at -19.6bp (-21.5bp), Oct'25 at -33.7bp (-35.5bp), Dec'25 at -50.7bp (-52.9bp).