OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Trend Needle Points North
May-22 09:34
- In FX, EURUSD trend conditions remain bearish following last week’s extension of the bear leg that started on Apr 26. The 50-day EMA, at 1.0881 and a former key support, has recently been breached. This strengthened bearish conditions and signals scope for a continuation lower towards 1.0737 next, 61.8% retracement of the Mar 15 - Apr 26 bull run. Clearance of this level would open 1.0713, the Mar 24 low. A firm resistance is seen at 1.0908, the 20-day EMA.
- GBPUSD maintains a softer tone following last week’s extension lower. The 50-day EMA which intersects at 1.2409, has been pierced. This average represents a key support and a clear break would strengthen current bearish conditions and expose 1.2345, the Apr 10 low. On the upside, firm resistance is seen at 1.2547, the May 16 high where a break is required to signal a possible reversal. First resistance is at 1.2493, the 20-day EMA.
- USDJPY bullish conditions remain intact following last weeks’ strong gains. A key resistance zone between 137.77-91, the May 2 and Mar 8 high respectively, has been cleared. The break strengthens bullish conditions and confirms a resumption of the uptrend that started on Jan 16. The focus is on 139.00 next. Initial firm support is seen at 135.78, the 20-day EMA.
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MNI: FED'S CIE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INDEX EASED IN Q1 '23
Apr-21 21:01
- MNI: FED'S CIE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INDEX EASED IN Q1 '23
- FED DATA: CIE INDEX DOWN 0.09PPT TO 2.22%, LOWEST SINCE Q2 '21
USDCAD TECHS: Tops Resistance At The 50-Day EMA
Apr-21 20:00
- RES 4: 1.3617 High Mar 29
- RES 3: 1.3582 50.0% retracement of the Mar 10 - Apr 14 bear leg
- RES 2: 1.3573 1.0% 10-dma envelope
- RES 1: 1.3563 High Apr 21
- PRICE: 1.3536 @ 16:42 BST Apr 21
- SUP 1: 1.3385/3302 Low Apr 19 / 14 and the bear trigger
- SUP 2: 1.3275 Low Feb 14
- SUP 3: 1.3262 Low Feb 2 and a key support
- SUP 4: 1.3226 Low Nov 15 2022
USDCAD maintains a firmer tone and the current correction remains intact. The pair has topped 1.3526 resistance - the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this hurdle would strengthen the current bull cycle and signal scope for a climb towards 1.3573, the 1.0% 10-dma envelope. For bears, a failure at the 50-day EMA would signal the end of the correction and attention would turn to the key support at 1.3302, the Apr 14 low.
MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $280B APRIL 20 VS $265B PREV DAY
Apr-21 20:00
- MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $280B APRIL 20 VS $265B PREV DAY
- TREASURY DATA: TGA TOTAL DEPOSITS $188B APRIL 20 VS $60B PREV
