OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - EUROSTOXX 50 Pullback Appears Corrective

Sep-17 09:39

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* In the equity space, a bull cycle in S&P E-Minis remains intact and the contract is trading clos...

Historical bullets

DUTCH T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: DTC Results

Aug-18 09:37
Type3.5-month DTC5.5-month DTC
MaturityNov 27, 2025Jan 29, 2026
AmountE1.32blnE1.54bln
TargetE1.0-2.0blnE1.0-2.0bln
PreviousE1.36blnE1.89bln
Avg yield1.945%1.945%
Previous1.930%1.940%
Bid-to-cover1.46x1.31x
Previous1.47x1.29x
Previous dateAug 04, 2025Aug 04, 2025

GILTS: Early Recovery Trimmed, Curve Flatter

Aug-18 09:35

Gilts are off session highs, with equity futures off session lows and crude oil regaining some poise.

  • Cross-market moves drove the early bid, with a lack of definitive progress in the Trump-Putin meeting (particularly when it comes to a palatable proposal for Ukraine) noted.
  • Elsewhere, others pointed to the market fading some of Friday’s bear steepening (which similarly lacked a clear headline trigger, with ongoing European focus on fiscal matters/issuance outlooks and Dutch pension reform noted back then).
  • Futures as high as 91.32 after trading 90.91 on Friday. Last ~91.10.
  • Still, bears remain in technical control. Fresh extension lower would target the May 29 low (90.59).
  • Conversely, bulls need to clear the 50-day EMA (92.05).
  • Yields 1-2bp lower, curve flatter.
  • The early June high in 10-Year yields (4.702%) remains intact.
  • A reminder that 50s registered a fresh cycle high on Friday, but bears failed to force a test of 5.00%.
  • The 5s30s curve continues to hover just below Friday’s multi-year highs (last 146.5bp), 150bp is the next upside target.
  • BoE-dated OIS prices 13.5bp of easing through December and 24bp of cuts through February, little changed on the day.
  • Wednesday’s CPI data headlines the domestic calendar this week, see our morning STIR bullet/global week ahead publication for more colour on that front and expect our usual detailed preview in due course.

BoE Meeting

SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)

Difference vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)

Sep-25

3.973

+0.5

Nov-25

3.891

-7.7

Dec-25

3.834

-13.3

Feb-26

3.729

-23.8

Mar-26

3.691

-27.7

Apr-26

3.617

-35.1

GERMAN T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 12-Month Bubill

Aug-18 09:31
Type12-month Bubill
MaturityAug 19, 2026
AllottedE2.741bln
PreviousE2.005bln
Total soldE3bln
TargetE3bln
Avg yield1.895%
Previous1.798%
Bid-to-cover2.07x
Previous2.33x
Bid-to-offer1.89x
Previous1.56x
Previous dateJul 14, 2025