TARIFFS: Navarro And Hassett Say UK Trade Deal Will Act As Template

May-09 12:59

US President Donald Trump’s senior trade advisor, Peter Navarro, told Bloomberg TV that the UK trade deal is “significant not just as a deal but a template for future deals.” 

  • White House NEC Director Kevin Hassett noted to CNBC similarly the deal is a “framework for future deals”, although Axios points out that upcoming negotiations must overcome "deeper mutual hostility, bigger trade imbalances, and more complex disputes” than the UK.
  • Navarro said on issues facing negotiations: “India has the highest tariffs of any of our major trading partners… Japan is the most clever at protecting its own markets… Germany has auto tariffs at 10% where we have them at 2.5%. They also have the VAT tax which acts as another 19% tariff and export subsidies.”
  • Navarro revealed that the Trump administration is looking at “four of five verticals” with partners: Tariffs, non-tariff barriers, digital taxes and the various kinds of cheating like dumping and currency manipulation. He notes that non-tariff barriers are the bigger problem, specifically referencing the EU’s VAT.
  • MNI noted in today's US Daily Brief that USTR Jamieson Greer's statement on the UK deal expressed disappointment that London was unwilling to "address its discriminatory Digital Services Tax", a clear sign that non-tariff barriers will be sticky.
  • Navarro refused to be drawn on potential results from tomorrow's US-China talks in Geneva: “Let’s see what happens tomorrow. It will be an interesting weekend for the markets.”
  • Note: Navarro will not be part of the US Geneva delegation, which will be led by Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. 

Historical bullets

BUNDS: Block trade

Apr-09 12:54

Bund Block trade, suggest buyer:

  • RXM5 6k at 130.41.

FOREX: USDJPY Breaches Bear Trigger, Resumes Technical Downtrend

Apr-09 12:51
  • USDJPY is trading sharply lower today, resulting in a break of support at 144.56, the Apr 4 low and bear trigger. This confirms a resumption of the downtrend and maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note too that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant downtrend.
  • Refreshing the technical levels of note on the downside:
    • SUP 1: 143.43 - Low Oct 2 ‘24 
    • SUP 2: 142.95 - 1.00 projection of the Feb 12 - Mar 11 - 28 price swing
    • SUP 3: 141.65 - Low Sep 30 ‘24 

GILTS: Hargreaves Lansdown Point To Continued Uptick In Gilt Trading Activity

Apr-09 12:48

Investment platform Hargreaves Lansdown notes that the early days of April have seen the daily average for gilt trades on its platform increase by 47% compared to March, with buying still outweighing sales amongst their clients.

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