The start of US-Russia negotiations to end the war in Ukraine have sparked talks of increased flows of Moscow’s natural gas to Europe, adding pressure to TTF.
Russian flows transiting Ukraine are widely seen as the most likely avenue for any resumption.
Even in the most positive outcome for Russian gas, it is unlikely that flows will return to pre-2022 levels While the mood music from the White House is more dovish towards Moscow, the US and Russia have divergent interests in the natural gas market.