Gilts continued to sell off Wednesday, badly underperforming Bunds.
- Bunds remained relatively steady vs global counterparts during most of the session's trade, which was dominated by risk on / risk off considerations with regard to US tariffs.
- Gilts remained under extreme pressure, especially at the long end with no particular driver on the day for outperformance, though long-term UK fiscal concerns appeared to remain front-of-mind.
- But there was a sharp sell-off in Bund futures after the European cash close as US President Trump announced that all countries except China would be subject to a 10% universal tariff amid a 90 day pause on the higher "Liberation Day" reciprocal tariffs.
- For Thursday's cash session, the German curve bull steepened sharply, with the UK's bear steepening.
- Periphery/semi-core EGB spreads widened sharply - though this move looks likely to reverse upon Thursday's open if the equity rebound holds.
- Thursday's schedule includes an MNI event with BOE's Breeden, and Italian industrial production data.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 11bps at 1.725%, 5-Yr is down 7.2bps at 2.102%, 10-Yr is down 4bps at 2.591%, and 30-Yr is down 5.7bps at 2.965%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 2.7bps at 3.991%, 5-Yr is up 9.4bps at 4.221%, 10-Yr is up 17.4bps at 4.779%, and 30-Yr is up 23.3bps at 5.58%.
- Italian BTP spread up 6.5bps at 129.1bps / Greek up 6.5bps at 97.6bps