PIPELINE: Late Equities Roundup: Bank, Chips & Media Stocks Lead Post-CPI Rally
Jan-15 2025 19:26
Stocks surged higher Wednesday after core inflation data slowed for December. After a couple rounds of profit taking major indexes looked to test session highs again in late trade with the DJIA up up 706.28 points (1.66%) at 43225.25, S&P E-Minis up 105 points (1.79%) at 5987.5, Nasdaq up 445.2 points (2.3%) at 19489.8.
Financials, Communication Services and Information Technology sectors continued to outperform in late trade, banks led gainers after better than expected earnings were reported by Blackrock +4.72%, Bank of NY Melon +7.97%, Wells Fargo +7.19%, JP Morgan +1.85%, Goldman Sachs +6.03% and Citigroup +7.33% this morning.
Interactive media and entertainment shares helped the Communication Services sector rebound after declining the last couple sessions: Meta +4.27%, Alphabet +3.10%, Netflix gained 2.37%. Same for IT with semiconductor shares trading stronger despite ongoing curbs on China exports: Micron Technologies +6.00%, Qualcomm +3.5%, Advanced Micro Devices +3.38%, Nvidia +2.91%.
On the flipside, Health Care and Consumer Staples sectors underperformed in late trade, pharmaceuticals weighing on the former with Viatris -2.94%, AbbVie -2.40%, Charles River Labs -1.56%. Food manufacturers weighed on the Consumer Staples sector: Hershey -3.01%, Conagra -1.98% and Kroger -1.3%.
CANADA: TD Securities Expect T-Bill Issuance To Lead The Way
Dec-16 2024 19:26
TD Securities write that the government is on pace to issue $228bn worth of GoCs, exactly in line with the 2024/25 DMS.
They expect stable bond issuance into 2025 as the government would likely have already begun to increase auction sizes if it “anticipated a significant change in its issuance trajectory”.
“We instead look for the $7bn increase in funding for 2024/25 to be sourced from money markets.”
T-bill issuance is on pace to finish the year at C$270bn outstanding, close to $272bn T-bill stock from the 2024/25 DMS.
“An increase to $279bn by the end of the fiscal year would be manageable for markets, though it's worth noting that we're already assuming that T-bill stock will need to increase by an additional $14bn in FY 2025/26.”
“Drawing down cash reserves would also be plausible, though the 24/25 DMS already incorporated at $16bn reduction in cash holdings, and we doubt the government would be keen push cash on hand to below $20bn”
US: Trump's Agenda Broadly Popular But Voters Not Sold On Tariffs
Dec-16 2024 19:23
A new CNBC surveyhas found that “Americans say they are ready to support President-elect Donald Trump in his second term and majorities give a green light to some of his controversial promises on the campaign trail.”
Yet, according to the survey, “the public is flashing yellow and red warning lights on some parts of the Trump agenda.”
The survey notes support for tariffs is more lukewarm, "with 27% backing them outright and 24% saying it can be done later in the term. It’s opposed by 42% of respondents."
The survey’s Republican pollster noted: “Trump’s walking into his second term with more sour moods about the current economy, but more hopeful attitudes about what’s to come.″
Figure 1: Green Lights for Trump Agenda
Source: CNBC
Figure 2: Yellow and Red Lights for Trump Agenda
Source: CNBC
NDP LEADER SINGH SAYS JUSTIN TRUDEAU MUST RESIGN
Dec-16 2024 19:19
NDP LEADER SINGH SAYS JUSTIN TRUDEAU MUST RESIGN
SINGH HASN’T DECIDED HOW TO VOTE ON FUTURE CONFIDENCE MOTIONS