EURUSD TECHS: Holding On To Its Recent Gains

Aug-06 05:24

* RES 4: 1.1686 High May 29 * RES 3: 1.1622 High Jun 15 * RES 2: 1.1587 50.0% retracement of the Apr...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-07 05:23
DateTimePeriodEvent
07-Jul1030H1BOE Financial Stability Report
07-Jul1715---BOE Mann Panel on Leadership in Economics
08-Jul0001---KPMG-REC Report on Jobs
09-Jul2030---BOE Breeden Panel on Monpol Implementation/Markets
13-Jul1900---BOE Pill Speech on FinReg/Innovation/Growth
14-Jul0001JunBRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
14-Jul2100---BOE Bailey at Financial/Professional Services Dinner
16-Jul0700MayGDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction
21-Jul0700May/JunLabour Market Report / Public Sector Finances
22-Jul0001JunBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
22-Jul0700JunConsumer Inflation Report / Producer Prices
23-Jul1100JulCBI Industrial Trends
24-Jul0001JulGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
24-Jul0700JunRetail Sales
24-Jul0930JulS&P Flash PMI / BOE DMP Data / Agents' Summary
27-Jul1100JulCBI Distributive Trades
28-Jul0001JulBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
29-Jul0930JunBOE Lending to Individuals / M4

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-07 05:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
07-Jul0700DEIndustrial Production
07-Jul0745FRForeign Trade
09-Jul0700DETrade Balance
09-Jul---EUECB Lagarde & Cipollone at Eurogroup Meeting, Brussels
10-Jul0700DEGermany CPI (f)
10-Jul0715EUECB Vujcic Panel at Greece Annual Economist Roundtable
10-Jul0745FRHICP (f)
10-Jul0900ITIndustrial Production
13-Jul1745EUECB Schnabel Keynote and Panel, Munster
14-Jul0700DEWholesale Prices
15-Jul0800ESHICP (f)
15-Jul1000EUEZ Industrial Production
16-Jul0900ITItaly Final HICP
16-Jul1000EUTrade Balance
17-Jul0900EUEZ Current Account
17-Jul1000EUEZ HICP Final
17-Jul1100EUECB Cipollone Lecture on Digital Euro

BOBL TECHS: (U6) Corrective Phase

Jul-07 05:15
  • RES 4: 116.000 Round number resistance    
  • RES 3: 115.947 1.236 proj of the May 19 - 29 - Jun 10 price swing     
  • RES 2: 115.610 1.00 proj of the May 19 - 29 - Jun 10 price swing
  • RES 1: 115.390/115.560 High Jul 1 / High Jun 30 and the bull trigger 
  • PRICE: 115.050 @ 05:56 BST Jul 7
  • SUP 1: 114.940/700 Low Jun 23 / 22      
  • SUP 2:  114.646 Trendline support drawn from the May 19 low 
  • SUP 3: 114.180 Low Jun 10 and a key short-term support 
  • SUP 4: 113.840 Low May 20

A bullish theme in Bobl futures remains intact and the latest pullback is considered corrective - for now. Key resistance at 115.180, the May 29 and Jun 16 high, has recently been cleared. The clear breach of this hurdle confirms a resumption of the uptrend that started May 19, and opens 115.610 next, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, key short-term support lies at 114.180, the May 10 and 11 low. Initial support is at 114.940, the Jun 23 low.