ECB: Growing Chance Of April Pause - Reuters Sources
Mar-06 16:47
- "European Central Bank policymakers see a growing chance of a pause in their easing cycle at their next meeting before rates come down again, once they have greater clarity about trade and fiscal policy, four sources told Reuters."
- The story has only added about 0.5bp to implied April rates, considering it was already at 11-12bp of cuts priced for April after the decision and Lagarde's press conference vs nearer 13bp yesterday.
Further details:
- "The sources who spoke to Reuters after the meeting said they saw an April pause as a distinct possibility, which some of them discussed informally during the breaks of their two-day meeting"
- "The sources, who represent both the dovish and hawkish camps in the Governing Council, agreed that the ECB was unlikely to leave its deposit rate at 2.5% and more cuts were warranted, at least based on information available today."
- "The sources added that the final wording of the ECB's new guidance, that rates were "meaningfully less restrictive" was a result of a compromise in the lead-up to the meeting.
- "Some had wanted to maintain a previous reference to policy being "restrictive", meaning that rates were high enough to curb economic growth. Others argued for removing that word".
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EGB SYNDICATION: Croatia 12-year CROATI: Priced
Feb-04 16:35
- Reoffer price 99.745 to yield 3.276%
- Spread set at MS + 90bps (IPTs were +120bp area, guidance: + 95bp area)
- Coupon: 3.25%
- Size: E2bln (MNI expected E1.5bln)
- Final books in excess of E4.4bln
- HR 88% vs 4.00% Jan-37 Bund (ref: 115.14 / 2.513%)
- Maturity: 11 February 2037 (12-year)
- Settlement: 11 February 2025 (T+5)
- ISIN: XS2997390153
- Joint Bookrunners: Erste Group, IMI-Intesa Sanpaolo/PBZ, ING (B&D), J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley
- Timing: TOE 16:09GMT / 17:09CET. FTT Feb 5th @ 16:45GMT / 17:45CET
From market source / BBG
FED: US TSY 42D AUCTION: HIGH RATE 4.250%; 71.47% AT HIGH
Feb-04 16:32
- US TSY 42D AUCTION: HIGH RATE 4.250%; 71.47% AT HIGH
- US TSY 42D BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 35.33% OF COMPETITIVES
- US TSY 42D BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 2.75% OF COMPETITIVES
- US TSY 42D BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 61.92% OF COMPETITIVES
- US TSY 42D AUCTION: BID/COVER 2.80
EGB SYNDICATION: Croatia 12-year CROATI: Priced
Feb-04 16:28
- Reoffer price 99.745 to yield 3.276%
- Spread set at MS + 90bps (IPTs were +120bp area, guidance: + 95bp area)
- Size: E2bln (MNI expected E1.5bln)
- Final books in excess of E4.4bln
- HR 88% vs 4.00% Jan-37 Bund
- Maturity: 11 February 2037 (12-year)
- Settlement: 11 February 2025 (T+5)
- ISIN: XS2997390153
- Joint Bookrunners: Erste Group, IMI-Intesa Sanpaolo/PBZ, ING (B&D), J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley
- Timing: FTT 16:45CET, Feb 5, 2025
From market source / BBG
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