MACRO UPDATE: Germany Macro Drivers Not Showing Much Reason For Optimism (2/2)

Jun-19 15:26

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Summarizing current drivers of the German macro landscape: * Fiscal data points towards special fun...

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MNI EXCLUSIVE: Ex-Richmond Fed Pres Lacker On Monetary Policy

May-20 15:24

MNI interviews ex-Richmond Fed President on monetary policy. - On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com

US STOCKS: Cross Asset - Risk Gets Additional Support

May-20 15:24
  • Risk gets additional support from Pres Trump pool report: in "final stages" of Iran talks. See 1122ET bullet for more context.
  • TYM6 gapped to 109-16 (25.5), trades 109-11 last, initial resistance at 109-24 (Mar 27 low) followed by 100+/110-05+ (Low May 4 / 20-day EMA).
  • Stocks extend highs before scaling back slightly: SPX emini currently +.88%, DJIA +0.91%, Nasdaq +1.3% (led by strong rebound in cip makers).
  • Crude extends lower, WTI dipped below $100.0/bbl to $99.45 low.

US: USD Slips Again, But Finds Base on Clarity of Trump Remarks

May-20 15:22
  • That comment from Trump eliciting another market response: USD trades weaker still as equities rally again to new daily highs. Net impact on yields is an aggressive move lower: 10y now down to 4.562% at typing.
  • Such a comment perhaps wouldn't normally trigger such a sizeable move, but it comes in the context of the earlier Al Arabiya report that stated "Finalization of the agreement between America and Iran may be announced within hours"
  • "*TRUMP SAYS 'WE'LL SEE WHAT HAPPENS' W/ IRAN: POOL REPORT" - bbg
  • Note the origin of these Trump headlines - this is from the press pool report covering Trump's earlier remarks at Joint Base Andrews, where he said: "Economic numbers are phenomenal. We're in final stages of Iran. We'll see what happens. Either have a deal or we're going to do some things that are a little bit nasty, but hopefully that won't happen."
  • As such, these comments are not new - but a write up of his remarks from a few hours ago - being rehashed via BBG headlines