TTF NATGAS TECHS: (G6) Volatile And Bull Cycle Remains Intact
Jan-26 13:45
- RES 4: €47.58 - High Jun 23 and a key resistance
- RES 3: €45.00 - High Feb 14 2025
- RES 2: €43.57 - High Jun 23 2025
- RES 1: €43.38 - Intraday high
- PRICE: €40.20 @ 13:34 GMT Jan 26
- SUP 1: €36.26 - Low Jan 23
- SUP 2: €31.22 - 50-day EMA
- SUP 3: €28.81 - Low Jan 12
- SUP 4: €26.39 - Low Dec 16 and key support
TTF Gas futures remain volatile, having traded sharply higher last week. The recent break higher exposes €43.57, the Jun 23 ‘25 high and the next key resistance. A break of this hurdle would expose the €45.00 handle. The short-term trend is overbought, and any deeper pullback would unwind this condition. A key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA - currently at €31.22.
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US TSYS: Curves Twist Steeper, Quiet Return from Christmas Holiday
Dec-26 2025 20:17
- Treasuries look to finish mixed Friday, curves twisting steeper with 2s-10s holding modestly higher vs. weaker Bonds after the bell.
- Currently, the TYH6 contract trades +2.5 at 112-19 vs. 112-23 early session high, on light post Christmas holiday volume of just over 650,000. 10Y yld near steady at 4.1336%. Key short-term resistance into 112-31, the Dec 18 high.
- Projected rate cut pricing gained vs. late Wednesday levels (*): Jan'26 at -5bp (-3.3bp), Mar'26 at -15.2bp (-12.3bp), Apr'26 at -21bp (-18.1bp), Jun'26 at -35.2bp (-31.1bp).
- US$ index near midrange after bouncing off midmorning lows, Bbg index BBDXY +0.21 at 1200.86
- Mining shares continued to buoy the Materials sector after Gold climbing to new record highs early Friday (4,549.92), trading desks citing an uptick in geopolitical tensions after Pres Trump launched attacks on Isis elements in Nigeria.
- Look Ahead: Monday data sees Pending Home Sales MoM (1000ET), Dallas Fed Mfg Activity (1030). COMC minutes for the December meeting to be released at 1400ET Tuesday.
US STOCKS: Late Equities Roundup: Miners Outperform as Gold Hits Record High
Dec-26 2025 19:58
- Stocks hold near steady (SPX Eminis & Nasdaq) to weaker for the DJIA late Friday. Currently, the DJIA trades down 81.36 points (-0.17%) at 48652.31, S&P E-Mini Futures down 4.5 points (-0.06%) at 6978.5, Nasdaq up 16.4 points (0.1%) at 23629.91.
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- Freeport-McMoRan +1.77%, Smurfit WestRock +1.14%, Newmont +0.78% and LyondellBasell Industries +0.72%.
- NVIDIA +1.88%, Crowdstrike Holdings +0.97%, Lam Research +0.94% and Dell Technologies +0.85%.
- Elevance Health +1.21%, Viatris +0.78%, UnitedHealth Group +0.71% and Baxter International +0.65%.
- Conversely, Energy sector and Utilities/Industrials shares led declines in the second half:
- Devon Energy -2.04%, APA Corp -1.64%, Diamondback Energy -1.23% and Occidental Petroleum -1.20%.
- Edison International -1.31%, Constellation Energy -1.29%, American Water Works -0.69% and Alliant Energy -0.61%.
- Huntington Ingalls Industries -1.18%, General Dynamics -1.08%, Axon Enterprise -1.07% and Northrop Grumman -1.06%.
US TSY OPTIONS: Apr'26 10Y Vol Sale
Dec-26 2025 19:26
- -4,500 TYJ6 112/113 strangles, 134
