The space seems to have found a base for now, with little in the way of fresh information since PM Starmer expressed his “full support” for Chancellor Reeves.
- Still, that didn’t prevent a sell off in UK paper after his comments surrounding her future (and her tears) in the Commons generated notable selling as speculation surrounding her departure and the potential for a loosening of the fiscal rules intensified.
- Futures based at 91.63, but have retaken 92.00 in recent trade,
- The recovery from lows could represent some profit taking amongst shorter-term market participants, or it could reflect the lack of new news surrounding Reeves’ future since Starmer’s attempted reassurances.
- Yields are 1.5-15.5bp higher on the day, 5-8bp off session highs, although much of the curve steepening remains intact.
- 140bp capped the steepening move in 5s30s, with limited moves above that level lacking any real momentum.
- Long end swap spreads have also recovered from lows alongside gilts but remain lower on the day.