COLOMBIA: Candidate Petro Hints At His Potential Future Finance Minister

Jun-16 2022 15:30
  • Colombians go to the polls on Sunday for the second-round runoff of their presidential election between Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernandez. Earlier today, while speaking on BLU Radio, candidate Petro revealed his shortlist of economists who could be the nation’s next finance minister if he wins on Sunday.
  • The names mentioned were as follows:
    • Alejandro Gaviria, a former health minister who ran for president but was defeated in the primaries of the centrist coalition. Gaviria endorsed Petro in the second round.
    • Rudolf Hommes, a 78-year-old economist who was finance minister in the early 1990s.
    • Cecilia Lopez, who served as agriculture and environment minister in the 1990s, and was a senator from 2006 to 2010.
    • Ricardo Bonilla who was Petro’s finance chief when he was mayor of Bogota.
    • Other names touted were Jorge Garay, Jorge Ivan Gonzalez and Luis Fernando Medina who are all researchers/academics.
  • The appointment of Gaviria or Hommes would be welcomed by investors, said Sergio Guzman, director of Colombia Risk Analysis.
    • On the other hand, they might not last long in the role, since they won’t always see eye to eye with Petro, Guzman added. (Bloomberg)
    • “It’s important to recognize the very large turnover that Petro had during his time as mayor of Bogota,” of people in key roles, Guzman said.
  • Petro said he seeks to raise as much as 50 trillion pesos ($12.8 billion) per year in taxes to provide pension subsidies to vulnerable older Colombians, buy crops directly from farmers to fight poverty, and cut the fiscal deficit. (BBG)

Historical bullets

US TSYS/SUPPLY: US Tsy 52Y Bill Auction Delayed

May-17 2022 15:14

Citing technical issues, US Tsy has delayed today's $34B 52W bill auction to Wednesday at 1130ET. Tomorrow includes $17B 20Y auction (912810TH1) at 1300ET.

JPY: Japanese Yen Recovers As Equity Indices Give Up European Gains

May-17 2022 14:57
  • USDJPY fell a quick 65 pips from the US equity cash open, coinciding with US indices given up the majority of gains seen throughout the European session. The pair hit a fresh weekly peak at 129.78 shortly after the bell, but briefly found itself within close proximity of the 129 mark.
  • Low of the day at 128.83 is the immediate short-term level to highlight before Monday’s low, residing at 128.70.
  • Bigger picture - the USDJPY outlook is bullish as the pair remains above 127.52, May 12 low. This level represents the first key support with key trend support unchanged at 126.95, Apr 27 low.

US TSYS: Real Yields Doing Most Of The Lifting But Inflation Breakevens Drift Higher

May-17 2022 14:56
  • The belly-led sell-off has cooled since the surprisingly large fall in the NAHB housing market index, with the largest monthly decline since Apr’20 taking it to the lowest since Jun’20 which also happens to be pre-pandemic levels.
  • Front-end to belly yields are back near where they were prior to stronger than expected nominal retail sales but are still 8bps higher on the day.
  • Higher Fed hike expectations have helped push real yields higher with the 5Y +6bps at -19bps but this has meant inflation breakevens have moved off recent lows, +2bps at 3.09% having touched ~2.90% late last week.