UK Total Retail Sales growth slowed to +1.2% Y/Y in January (vs +1.7% Y/Y prior) - the lowest since August 2022, similarly Like-For-Like Sales rose less at +1.4% Y/Y (vs +1.9% Y.Y prior).
Source: MNI,ONS,BRC-KPMG
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The broader USDCAD trend outlook remains bearish, and with the Friday rally sold, focus could again turn lower. The 50-day EMA resistance above at 1.3469 has held, keeping the over-arching downtrend intact. The pair last week cleared a bear trigger at 1.3480, the Dec 4 low. Furthermore, all key short-term retracement points have been breached. On any return lower, sights are on 1.3093, the Jul 14 low and a key support.