EURUSD TECHS: Approaching Support At The 50-Day EMA
Sep-02 17:00
* RES 4: 1.1797 High May 6 * RES 3: 1.1742 High May 13 * RES 2: 1.1725 76.4% retracement of the Apr ...
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US TSY OPTIONS: Large Sep'26 10Y Call Spreads
Aug-03 16:57
- 40,000 TYU6 108.25/109.25 call spds, 27 ref 108-11.5
- Block: -40,000 TYU6 108.5/109.5 call spds, 22 vs. 108-12.5/0.30%
OPTIONS: Relatively Light Flow Monday Despite Large Broader Moves
Aug-03 16:52
Monday's Europe rates/bond options flow included:
- RXV6 122.5p, bought for 38 in 2k
- OEU6 113.75/114.00cs, sold at 15 and 15.5 in 4.2k
- SFIQ6 96.15/96.25/96.35 call fly bought for 2 in 3.5k
- SFIX6 96.10/96.25/96.40 call fly bought for 3.5 in 2k
- 0NU6 95.90/96.10/96.30 call fly bought for 2.75 in 1.5k
US TSYS/SUPPLY: MNI Refunding Preview: Analysts Mixed On Financing Size (2/2)
Aug-03 16:44
As noted, borrowing requirement estimates for Q3 (Jul-Sep)'s update range widely, from $588B to $827B (vs $671B estimated by Treasury in May's refunding); for Q4 it runs from $587B to $690B. Figures assume TGA cash ends year at $950B unless noted otherwise. In descending order of Q3 borrowing expectations:
- Goldman Sachs: $827B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $638B Oct-Dec (assuming TGA target to decline to $900B by end-Q4)
- UBS: $795B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $673B Oct-Dec.
- BMO: $745B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $625B Oct-Dec.
- Deutsche: $730B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $620B Oct-Dec (assuming end-year TGA balance of $1T)
- Citi: $682B financing requirements Jul-Sep, $679B Oct-Dec.
- Wrightson ICAP: $680B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $690B Oct-Dec (assuming TGA target to decline to $900B by end-Q4)
- TD: $596B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $587B Oct-Dec.
- CIBC: $588B net marketable borrowing Jul-Sep, $633B Oct-Dec.
