US DATA: ADP Revisions See Healthcare As A Major Driver, Echoing Payrolls

Feb-04 16:01

The wide-ranging revisions have seen the education & healthcare sector provide a much larger contrib...

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BONDS: MNI Europe Pi: Move Away From Longs Continues (Gilts Excepted)

Jan-05 15:57

We've just published our latest Europe Pi positioning analysis - Download Full Document Here

  • The recent move away from long-leaning structural positioning broadly continued through the recent holiday-interrupted period.
  • 5 of 7 contracts are in outright "short" territory (it was 4 of 7 in our last biweekly update), with trade in the most recent week largely indicative of further short-setting and long reduction.
  • The two exceptions in terms of positioning are Gilt and BTP which are long-leaning.
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Updated Jan 5, 2026 based on OI/price data through Jan 2, 2026. MNI Pi provides an estimate of fast money positioning in futures. Calculations are for guidance only, and are not trade recommendations in any way. Source: Eurex, ICE, Bloomberg Finance L.P., MNI Calculations

UK: DMO Launch TBill Consultation, Meeting Budget '25 Commitment

Jan-05 15:44

UK government launch a consultation on the UK Treasury bill market: https://www.dmo.gov.uk/media/nrgnywtz/pr050126.pdf

  • This is as announced at the Budget last year: "Budget 2025 on 26 November 2025, the government announced that it would launch a consultation on expanding and deepening the UK Treasury bill (“T-bill”) market."
  • They're looking to explore options to promote participation and help develop a more active and liquid secondary market.

UN: Sec-Gen Raises Concern About Precedent Set By US' Venezuela Operation

Jan-05 15:31

In a statement to a meeting of the UN Security Council, Secretary-General Antonio Guterres says that the UN is "concerned about the possible intensification of instability in Venezuela" following the US operation that saw President Nicolas Maduro captured and transported to the US to face narco-trafficking charges. Guterres says there are also concerns regarding the precedent the operation may set for how relations among states are conducted, and whether the op respected the rules of international law. 

  • Guterres calls on all Venezuelan actors to "engage in an inclusive, democratic dialogue", and says the UN is ready to support all efforts aimed at assisting Venezuelans in finding a peaceful way forward.
  • It is unclear if a resolution will be put to a vote to condemn the US's actions in Venezuela. Even if a resolution is passed, it is unlikely to have any impact on the future actions of the Trump administration vis-a-vis the immediate control of Venezuela, and its interactions with the newly inaugurated interim president, Delcy Rodriguez.
  • The precedent set by the US's actions are being closely followed in other NATO states following President Trump's comments after the Maduro operation regarding future control of Greenland. Danish PM Mette Frederiksen said a short time ago that she believes Trump is "serious about wanting to take over Greenland", but that both Denmark and Greenland have said no. Adds that any US attempt to seize Greenland will see "everything stop" with regards to NATO cooperation.