FRANCE AUCTION PREVIEW: 10/12-year OATs

Aug-04 08:07
  • On offer today: E5-6bln of OATs
    • 2.00% Nov-32 OAT (ISIN: FR001400BKZ3)
    • 1.25% May-34 OAT (ISIN: FR0013313582)
  • Market colour: 10/12-year OAT yields have fallen since the beginning of July by approx. 55 and 51bp respectively to stand around 1.426% and 1.561% currently. This is just shy of 100bp lower than the June 16 high of 2.581% for the 1.25% May-34 OAT.
  • 10-year OAT spreads to the Bund have narrowed since the beginning of July, by around 7bp to around 62bp. The 12-year OAT spread to the 0% May-35 Bund has widened around 7bp since the beginning of May, seeing a brief spike to around 65bp and currently hovering around 59bp.
  • Timing: Results will be available shortly after the auction closes at 0950 BST / 1050 CEST.

Historical bullets

EUR: EURUSD is extending losses

Jul-05 08:04
  • EURUSD extends losses, with the lower revision in French Services PMIs.
  • Broader base USD bid is also a driver.
  • EUR is at session low against CHF, GBP, and CAD.
  • The EUR still traded in the green versus the SEK, after the Swedbank Services PMI miss versus last, earlier.
  • Worst performer against the EUR is the AUD, down 0.31%.

GILT AUCTION PREVIEW: 1.25% Jul-51

Jul-05 07:44
  • The DMO will come to the market this morning to offer GBP2.0bln of the 30-year 1.25% Jul-51 gilt.
  • This will be the seventh auction of the gilt (which was originally launched via syndication in April 2021).
  • The auction size of GBP2.0bln is a bit larger than seen recently, with the last three auctions being sized at GBP1.5bln, GBP1.5bln and GBP1.75bln respectively.
  • Bid-to-covers have remained strong, ranging from 2.05-2.91x, with the 2.91x seen at the last auction on 18 May.
  • Tails have been move variable, ranging from 0.2-1.1bp, but again the 18 May auction was strong with a 0.2bp tail.
  • UK 30-year yields have been on a bit of a rollercoaster recently, hitting a high of just below 2.90% on 21 June and moving as low as 2.39% on Friday before recovering somewhat to 2.58% at the time of writing.
  • Timing: Results will be available shortly after the auction closes at 10:00BST with a further GBP500mln available to successful bidders through the PAOF.

USD: AUDUSD extends losses

Jul-05 07:44
  • AUDUSD extends losses, now down 0.76%, and the pair is now eyeing yesterday low at 0.6794.
  • A clear break through the latter opens to 0.6764, the July low and the lowest print since June 2020,