DDHQ has upgraded the Republican Party's prospects of retaining the House of Representatives to 61%. The shift in probability comes with several key races tilting towards the GOP and the increased likelihood that Trump's strong performance in blue states may boost Republican candidates in critical races in California.
- If the GOP picks up an additional 19 seats in competitive races, they will retain the House and complete a Republican sweep.
Key races to be declared shortly.
- PA1: Republican Ryan Mackenzie leads incumbent Democrat Rep Susan Wild (D-PA) 50.8%-49.2% with >95% of the vote counted.
- PA8: Republican Robert Bresnahan leads incumbent Democrat Rep Matt Cartwright (D-PA) 51%-49.0% with >95% of the vote counted.
- IA1: Democrat Christina Bohannan leads incumbent Republican Rep Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA) 50.05%-49.95% with >95% of the vote counted.
Figure 1: House of Representatives Forecast

Source: DDHQ
Figure 2: Competitive Disctict Tracker

Source: NYT