Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing Oct 16

Date GMT/Local Impact Period FlagCountry Release Prior Consensus
16/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep IT Italy Final HICP m/m 0.2 -- %
16/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep IT Italy Final HICP y/y 5.5 5.7 %
16/10/2023 0900/1100 * Aug EU Trade Balance 2.9 -- E (b)
16/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Manufacturing Sales 1.6 -- %
16/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Wholesale Sales 0.20 -- %
16/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Oct US Empire Manufacturing Index 1.9 -5
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA BOC Business Outlook Indicator -2.2 --
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA Future sales (bal. of opinion) -6 -- %
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA Investment (bal. of opinion) -- -- %
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA Respondents seeing CPI 2%/less -- -- %
16/10/2023 1530/1130 * 20-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
16/10/2023 1530/1130 * 20-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
17/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Oct AU RBA board meeting minutes -- --
17/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK AWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y 8.5 8.3 %
17/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK Avg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy 7.8 7.8 %
17/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Oct DE ZEW Current Conditions Index -79.4 -80.5
17/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Oct DE ZEW Expectations Index -11.4 -9.5
17/10/2023 0900/1000 ** 20-Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
17/10/2023 1230/0830 * Aug CA Intl Securities Transactions 11.62 -- CAD (b)
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Headline CPI m/m 0.40 -- %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Headline CPI y/y 4.0 -- %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales (control group) m/m 0.1 -0.2 %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales (ex-auto) m/m 0.6 0.2 %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m 0.2 0.1 %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales m/m 0.6 0.2 %
17/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 14-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) 4.0 -- %
17/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 14-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) 4.0 -- %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Capacity Utilization 79.9 79.6 %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Industrial Production m/m 0.4 0.0 %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Previous Capacity Utilization Revised -- -- %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Previous Industrial Production Revised -- -- %
17/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US NAHB Home Builder Index 45 45
17/10/2023 1400/1000 * Aug US Business Inventories m/m 0.0 0.3 %
17/10/2023 1530/1130 * 20-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
17/10/2023 2000/1600 ** Aug US Long Term TICS Flows 8.8 -- USD (b)
17/10/2023 2000/1600 ** Aug US Net TICS Flows 140.6 -- USD (b)
18/10/2023 2301/0001 * Sep UK XpertHR Median Pay Award 3m 5.0 -- %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** ytd CN Urban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y 3.2 3.2 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Sep CN Retail Sales y/y 4.6 4.7 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Sep CN Industrial Output y/y 4.5 4.3 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 ** Sep CN Surveyed Unemployment Rate m/m 5.2 5.2 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Q3 CN GDP, Q/Q 0.8 1.0 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Q3 CN GDP, y/y 6.3 4.5 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK CPI m/m 0.3 0.4 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK CPI y/y 6.7 6.5 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Core CPI y/y 6.2 6.0 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK PPI Input y/y -2.3 -- %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK PPI Output y/y -0.4 -- %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP (f) m/m 0.5 0.3 %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP (f) y/y 5.2 4.3 %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP Core (f) m/m 0.3 -- %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP Core (f) y/y 5.3 4.5 %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Construction Prod m/m 0.8 -- %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Construction Prod y/y WDA 1 -- %
18/10/2023 1100/0700 ** 13-Oct US MBA Mortgage Applications w/w 0.60 -- %
18/10/2023 1215/0815 ** Sep CA CMHC Housing Starts 253 -- (k)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Building Permits 1.543 1.450 (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Building Permits Revised -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Completions -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Completions Revised -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Housing Starts 1.283 1.380 (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Housing Starts Revised -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
18/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Distillate Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
18/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Gasoline Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
18/10/2023 1700/1300 ** Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
19/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Sep AU Employed Persons change m/m 64.9 20.0 (k)
19/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Sep AU Labor Participation Rate 67.0 67.0 %
19/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Sep AU Unemployment Rate 3.7 3.7 %
19/10/2023 0645/0845 ** Oct FR Manufacturing Sentiment 99 98
19/10/2023 0645/0845 * Sep FR Retail Sales y/y -4.0 -- %
19/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Aug EU EZ Current Acc 20.9 -- E (b)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Continuing Claims 1702 -- (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Initial Jobless Claims 209 210 (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Prev Continuing Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Corn Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Corn Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Soy Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Soy Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Wheat Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Wheat Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 * Sep CA Industrial Product Prices m/m 1.3 -- %
19/10/2023 1230/0830 * Sep CA Raw Material Prices m/m 3.0 -- %
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Oct US Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index -13.5 -6.4
19/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US Existing Home Sales 4.04 3.90 (m)
19/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Natural Gas Stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
19/10/2023 1700/1300 ** Q4 US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
20/10/2023 2301/0001 ** Oct UK GfK Consumer Confidence -21 -20
20/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep DE PPI m/m 0.3 0.5 %
20/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep DE PPI y/y -12.6 -14.2 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Central Govt Net Cash Requirmt 5.9 -- GBP (b)
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Public Sector Net Borrowing 10.8 -- GBP (b)
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales m/m 0.4 -0.4 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales y/y -1.4 -0.1 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m 0.6 -0.1 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales(ex-fuel) y/y -1.4 -0.3 %
20/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE Unemployment Rate 7.7 -- %
20/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Retail Sales (ex-autos) m/m 1.0 -- %
20/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Retail Sales m/m 0.3 -- %

MNI DATA FORECASTS: UK, Eurozone Inflation to Fore

Last updated at:Oct-16 13:07By: Les Commons

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing Oct 16

Date GMT/Local Impact Period FlagCountry Release Prior Consensus
16/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep IT Italy Final HICP m/m 0.2 -- %
16/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep IT Italy Final HICP y/y 5.5 5.7 %
16/10/2023 0900/1100 * Aug EU Trade Balance 2.9 -- E (b)
16/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Manufacturing Sales 1.6 -- %
16/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Wholesale Sales 0.20 -- %
16/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Oct US Empire Manufacturing Index 1.9 -5
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA BOC Business Outlook Indicator -2.2 --
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA Future sales (bal. of opinion) -6 -- %
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA Investment (bal. of opinion) -- -- %
16/10/2023 1430/1030 ** Q4 CA Respondents seeing CPI 2%/less -- -- %
16/10/2023 1530/1130 * 20-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
16/10/2023 1530/1130 * 20-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
17/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Oct AU RBA board meeting minutes -- --
17/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK AWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y 8.5 8.3 %
17/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK Avg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy 7.8 7.8 %
17/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Oct DE ZEW Current Conditions Index -79.4 -80.5
17/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Oct DE ZEW Expectations Index -11.4 -9.5
17/10/2023 0900/1000 ** 20-Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
17/10/2023 1230/0830 * Aug CA Intl Securities Transactions 11.62 -- CAD (b)
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Headline CPI m/m 0.40 -- %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Headline CPI y/y 4.0 -- %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales (control group) m/m 0.1 -0.2 %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales (ex-auto) m/m 0.6 0.2 %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m 0.2 0.1 %
17/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Retail Sales m/m 0.6 0.2 %
17/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 14-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) 4.0 -- %
17/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 14-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) 4.0 -- %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Capacity Utilization 79.9 79.6 %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Industrial Production m/m 0.4 0.0 %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Previous Capacity Utilization Revised -- -- %
17/10/2023 1315/0915 *** Sep US Previous Industrial Production Revised -- -- %
17/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US NAHB Home Builder Index 45 45
17/10/2023 1400/1000 * Aug US Business Inventories m/m 0.0 0.3 %
17/10/2023 1530/1130 * 20-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
17/10/2023 2000/1600 ** Aug US Long Term TICS Flows 8.8 -- USD (b)
17/10/2023 2000/1600 ** Aug US Net TICS Flows 140.6 -- USD (b)
18/10/2023 2301/0001 * Sep UK XpertHR Median Pay Award 3m 5.0 -- %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** ytd CN Urban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y 3.2 3.2 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Sep CN Retail Sales y/y 4.6 4.7 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Sep CN Industrial Output y/y 4.5 4.3 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 ** Sep CN Surveyed Unemployment Rate m/m 5.2 5.2 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Q3 CN GDP, Q/Q 0.8 1.0 %
18/10/2023 0200/1000 *** Q3 CN GDP, y/y 6.3 4.5 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK CPI m/m 0.3 0.4 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK CPI y/y 6.7 6.5 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Core CPI y/y 6.2 6.0 %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK PPI Input y/y -2.3 -- %
18/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK PPI Output y/y -0.4 -- %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP (f) m/m 0.5 0.3 %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP (f) y/y 5.2 4.3 %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP Core (f) m/m 0.3 -- %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP Core (f) y/y 5.3 4.5 %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Construction Prod m/m 0.8 -- %
18/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Construction Prod y/y WDA 1 -- %
18/10/2023 1100/0700 ** 13-Oct US MBA Mortgage Applications w/w 0.60 -- %
18/10/2023 1215/0815 ** Sep CA CMHC Housing Starts 253 -- (k)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Building Permits 1.543 1.450 (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Building Permits Revised -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Completions -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Completions Revised -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Housing Starts 1.283 1.380 (m)
18/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Housing Starts Revised -- -- (m)
18/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
18/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Distillate Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
18/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Gasoline Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
18/10/2023 1700/1300 ** Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
19/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Sep AU Employed Persons change m/m 64.9 20.0 (k)
19/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Sep AU Labor Participation Rate 67.0 67.0 %
19/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Sep AU Unemployment Rate 3.7 3.7 %
19/10/2023 0645/0845 ** Oct FR Manufacturing Sentiment 99 98
19/10/2023 0645/0845 * Sep FR Retail Sales y/y -4.0 -- %
19/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Aug EU EZ Current Acc 20.9 -- E (b)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Continuing Claims 1702 -- (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Initial Jobless Claims 209 210 (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Prev Continuing Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 14-Oct US Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Corn Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Corn Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Soy Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Soy Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Wheat Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 12-Oct US Wheat Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
19/10/2023 1230/0830 * Sep CA Industrial Product Prices m/m 1.3 -- %
19/10/2023 1230/0830 * Sep CA Raw Material Prices m/m 3.0 -- %
19/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Oct US Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index -13.5 -6.4
19/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US Existing Home Sales 4.04 3.90 (m)
19/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 13-Oct US Natural Gas Stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
19/10/2023 1700/1300 ** Q4 US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
20/10/2023 2301/0001 ** Oct UK GfK Consumer Confidence -21 -20
20/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep DE PPI m/m 0.3 0.5 %
20/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep DE PPI y/y -12.6 -14.2 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Central Govt Net Cash Requirmt 5.9 -- GBP (b)
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Public Sector Net Borrowing 10.8 -- GBP (b)
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales m/m 0.4 -0.4 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales y/y -1.4 -0.1 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m 0.6 -0.1 %
20/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Sep UK Retail Sales(ex-fuel) y/y -1.4 -0.3 %
20/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE Unemployment Rate 7.7 -- %
20/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Retail Sales (ex-autos) m/m 1.0 -- %
20/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Retail Sales m/m 0.3 -- %